Oliver Wyman was engaged by Asian Development Bank, along with MicroSave to conduct a study on the role digital finance can play in accelerating financial inclusion, focusing on four Southeast Asian markets – Indonesia, the Philippines, Cambodia, and Myanmar. The study, informed by more than 80 stakeholder interviews across the four markets, extensive secondary research, and economic analysis, is an endeavour to better understand and quantify the nature of this impact.
Our research finds that digital financial solutions could address about 40% of the volume of unmet demand for payments services and 20% of the unmet credit needs in the base of pyramid (BoP) and micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) segments. Digital solutions will have the most significant positive impact on financial inclusion in five key areas:
- Enable fast, low-cost, convenient identification and verification processes
- Alter economics of the supply side distribution and servicing issues with mobile phones and POS devices
- Create initial momentum for electronic payments to support supply-side business cases
- Access to credit information by alternative sources of data for improved customer profiling, credit risk assessment and fraud detection
- Mobilizing micro-saving via lower cost digital origination and servicing channel
Digital finance alone cannot entirely close the gaps in financial inclusion, but the cumulative effect of digitally driven acceleration in financial inclusion could boost GDP by 2% to 3% in markets like Indonesia and the Philippines, and 6% in Cambodia. For the population earning less than $2 a day, that would translate to a 10-percent increase in income in Indonesia and the Philippines, and an increase of around 50% in Cambodia.