Insights

COVID-19 Pandemic Navigator

Pandemic forecasts and scenarios connected to economic and business outcomes

Over the past 18 months, our quantitative, digital, and healthcare experts developed the industry-leading COVID-19 Pandemic Navigator, a proprietary suite of scenario models, forecasting tools, and risk assessment capabilities. Its purpose was to help policymakers and business leaders navigate the incredible uncertainty of the crisis through greater visibility into COVID-19 hotspots and changing patterns, as well as the resulting economic and business outcomes. Accuracy was vital. Oliver Wyman’s Pandemic Navigator was rated in the top three individual models globally by CDC’s COVID Forecast Hub in an independent study comparing the relative accuracy of 50 models over the course of 31 weeks from May to December of 2020. We are proud to have met this critical need at a critical time. 

RECOVERY AND TRANSFORMATION CAPABILITIES

The team is now further reinforcing our core capabilities and industries with the insights and analytics decision-makers need not only for the recovery, but the transformation … to reimagine the workforce, embrace the rapid move to digital, meet vastly different consumer expectations, and build a new level of resiliency, all while funding the unprecedented change. 

PANDEMIC NAVIGATOR BY THE NUMBERS

We are immensely proud of the depth of analytics and agility of the team that supported the Oliver Wyman COVID-19 Pandemic Navigator. Below is a recap of what it took to deliver best-in-class analytics that governments, financial services firms, central banks, regulators, Fortune 500 companies, hospitals, airlines, hotels, and more relied on to address their toughest pandemic challenges. 

 

ONGOING RESOURCES

As new variants emerge, publicly available sources continue to monitor the situation. A few to consider referencing are below:

  • Johns Hopkins continues to provide global information on case counts and deaths
  • The CDC ensemble model continues to provide short-term forecasts on cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in the US at the state level  
  • Oliver Wyman continues to provide perspectives on COVID-19 response strategies

PAST EVENTS LEVERAGING PANDEMIC NAVIGATOR FORECASTING