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New Trends Reshaping Chinese Travel And Luxury Spending

Key insights from the 2025 Chinese Traveler Survey
By Imke Wouters and Kenneth Chow
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Shaky consumer confidence hasn’t dampened the appetite for travel among Chinese consumers. But they are more discerning in how and where they spend money. Long-haul trips are down, domestic travel is up, and even the highest earners are rethinking spending on personal luxury goods.

Our consumer sentiment index for high-income households fell to 69 in May 2025, down from 81 in October 2022. Confidence in the year ahead and even five years from now has also declined. The steepest drop is among affluent Gen Z in Tier 1 cities, who are now the most pessimistic segment, according to our 2025 Chinese Traveler Survey. We surveyed 2,000 high-income consumers — defined as households with a monthly income exceeding ¥30,000 (approximately USD $4,000) — across Tier 1 to Tier 5 cities to understand how shifting sentiment is reshaping travel and shopping behavior. 

Exhibit 1: Oliver Wyman Chinese consumer sentiment index
October 2022 to May 2025, for high-income households
Bar charts of positive, neutral, and negative sentiment percentages for October 2022, 2024, and May 2025 across current, 1-year, and 5-year outlooks.
Notes: Aggregated index of current, one-year, and five-year for October 2022 baselined to 100; N=4,000 (October 2022), 1,500 (December 2022), 1,500 (October 2024), and 2,000 (May 2025)
Source: Oliver Wyman’s Chinese Traveler Survey (October 2022, December 2022, October 2024, May 2025), Oliver Wyman analysis

This shift in sentiment is more than just a short-term dip, it’s a change in mindset. Many had expected economic conditions to improve after the COVID-19 pandemic. But that recovery failed to materialize, further eroding confidence that things will get better. As a result, people are saving more and spending less.

Chinese travel demand remains strong despite economic uncertainty

Despite this uncertainty, the desire to travel remains high, but people are doing it more carefully. International travel among high-income households is starting to inch up, with 27% of respondents saying they have already traveled or plan to travel abroad this year. On the other hand, domestic travel demand remains strong, consistent with our observations since 2019.

Exhibit 2: Net travel sentiment index among Chinese travelers
September 2023 to May 2025, for high-income households
Bar charts showing net sentiment for international and domestic travel from Sept 2023 to May 2025 with increase and decrease percentages.
Notes: Percentage of respondents increasing their amount of travel minus percentage of respondents decreasing their amount of travel; the amount of travel is unchanged for the remaining percentage of respondents not included
Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese Traveler Survey (September 2023, May 2024, October 2024, May 2025), Oliver Wyman analysis

When travel abroad does happen, closer destinations are gaining favor. Japan is seeing a surge in interest, helped by its 10-year visa for affluent travelers and a favorable exchange rate. In contrast, Hong Kong is seeing less interest, particularly among experienced travelers, as visitor numbers are declining and average spending has dropped. Macau is performing slightly better, with stable average spending and rising visitor traffic.

Exhibit 3: Outbound travel destination preferences of high-income Chinese travelers
April 2024 versus May 2025, in percentages
Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese Traveler Survey (April 2024, May 2025), Oliver Wyman analysis

Spending habits while traveling are changing as well. Instead of buying personal luxury goods, people are spending on experiences, food, and activities that feel more personal. For many, this is a shift in perspective. In the past, people expected their income to grow, so splurging on a luxury item felt justifiable. Now that confidence in the future has dropped, especially among younger generations, many prefer to spend on things that bring immediate enjoyment.

Exhibit 4: Expected change in future spending on international travel by category
Net percentage of respondents
Notes: Percentage of respondents choosing to increase their budget less the percentage of respondents choosing to decrease their budget
Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese Traveler Survey (May 2025), Oliver Wyman analysis

Why luxury spending habits have declined among Chinese Gen Zers

While some high-income consumers are still spending, the overall picture is more cautious and more polarized. Our survey reveals that casual luxury shoppers — defined as those spending less than ¥40,000 annually on luxury goods — have significantly reduced their luxury spending compared to a year ago. In contrast, the spending behavior of core luxury shoppers — those spending ¥40,000 or more annually — has remained largely unchanged.

Exhibit 5: Luxury spending attitude by type of shopper
October 2024 versus May 2025, in percentages
Bar chart showing net attitude shifts in luxury spending for core and casual shoppers from 2023 to 2025 with positive and negative percentages.
Source: Oliver Wyman Chinese Traveler Survey (May 2025), Oliver Wyman analysis

The share of luxury purchases made overseas has stabilized at 25% of total luxury spend across affluent consumers. In other words, shopping abroad is no longer the default. Many consumers — especially younger ones — are simply spending less.

Among Gen Z travelers, the shift is even more pronounced. This group was once a key driver of luxury’s post-pandemic rebound, but that momentum is fading. Instead of shopping for high-end items, Gen Z travelers are redirecting their budgets toward food, local cultural activities, and wellness-focused experiences. For this generation, luxury is no longer about labels. They now expect brands to offer more than just products: they are looking for connection, relevance, and personal value, and they are quicker to walk away when those expectations are not met. 

Consumer brands must adjust their strategies to better engage Chinese travelers 

While travel is back, it looks different. People are more selective about how often they travel, where they go, and what they spend. They still want meaningful experiences, but they are making more deliberate choices along the way.

Luxury brands must deliver clear value through brand experience as consumers now require more justification for spending. The polarized behavior of luxury shoppers means brands must build more immersive, experience-led engagement for both consumer acquisition and retention. Since the pre-COVID-19 luxury frenzy is unlikely to return, luxury brands should refine their expansion plans to reflect the moderate growth expected in the future.

The opportunity is still there, but the path to growth looks very different. Success will depend on how well brands can respond to changing expectations and meet travelers where they are now — not where they were three years ago.

Unlock more in-depth travel and spending insights to understand the affluent Chinese consumer better — contact us for the full 2025 Chinese Traveler Survey results below.